Chancellor to bring economic forecasts forward

Published by Scott Challinor on October 4th 2022, 7:07am

Speaking at the Conservative Party Conference, chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng has suggested he will publish his fiscal plan “shortly”, having previously indicated that it would not be forthcoming until November 23.

The move would be another concession from the government since the mini-Budget, having already reneged on plans to abolish the top tax band of 45 pence in every pound on earnings over £150,000.

Addressing market “turbulence” in the wake of the mini-Budget, Kwarteng said he now wanted “to move forward” without any distractions.

The chancellor also told Tory members that the remainder of the measures outlined in the mini-Budget would materialise, which may require public spending to be reduced to finance the £43 billion remaining of tax cuts.

The abolition of the top tax band would’ve cost an estimated £2 billion, and prime minister Liz Truss suggested that this formed only a “tiny part” of the overall package.

The PM was writing in the Telegraph, declaring that her government had a “firm commitment to fiscal responsibility”, would bring public spending under control and that her economic policies would bring “success and security”.

The decision to bring forward the publication of the fiscal plan comes after the PM and chancellor held talks last Friday with senior members of the government spending watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility [OBR].

Over the course of last week, Kwarteng continued to insist that he would publish his fiscal plan on November 23 and the independent OBR forecast would be unveiled alongside it.

According to the BBC, ministers were provided with a draft forecast prior the mini-Budget, but opted not to publish it in tandem.

Liz Truss later claimed that the OBR’s full assessment was “not yet ready”, but it appears that the government are prepared to bring it forward as well as details of their own plan following market volatility and concern among Tory MPs at the party’s polling performance.

Mel Stride, the Conservative chair of the parliamentary Treasury Committee, said that by making the decision the chancellor “has listened” after being “pressed…very hard”.

The OBR forecast will include its own assessments of the prognosis for the UK economy alongside Kwarteng’s growth ambitions, to gauge whether the policies will have the desired effect.

Stride added that the publication of the fiscal plan and the OBR’s assessment should “calm markets more quickly and reduce the upward pressure on interest rates to the benefit of millions of people up and down the country”.


Photo by UK Government on Wikimedia Commons 

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Scott Challinor
Business Editor
October 4th 2022, 7:07am

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